Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Or could they be underestimates of the true number? But on all probability it would. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. So what's the probability of your being born? Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. Which ones bigger? Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. That's 150,000 generations. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Me neither. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . So far, so good. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). On one try. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Do you know the odds of being alive? Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Why? They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Want to Read. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Dr. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? On the Probability of Your Being Born.. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. Maybe that one would have been better. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? Here it should be realize it is a quest work. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. I hope you use your chance well. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Part of HuffPost Wellness. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Now things start getting interesting. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Part of HuffPost Wellness. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. 7 distinct works Similar authors. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. But let's think about this some more. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. So what's the probability of your being born? The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Whoa. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Onward to freedom! enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Thats 150,000 generations. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Love, H, Writer, Mama, Spiritual Warrior @RecovHer, Sharing is Caring! It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. Based on the data from the CDC . "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Thats a ridiculously huge number. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Those who are brave (foolish?) Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Thank you, Monsignor. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Step 1. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. But lets make it longer. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Step 2. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man.

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